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Fundamental Overview Yesterday, we got some positive US data releases as the US retail sales came out a touch better than expected and the industrial production data beat forecasts erasing the hurricane related weakness in July. The data put some pressure on gold and we might see some profit-taking given that it’s unlikely that the…
The AUDUSD has been stepping higher over the last five or so trading days and in the process has used a series of key moving averages that have increased the bullish bias and provided the roadmap for the move to the upside. 5 days ago, the price based against the 200-day moving average and moved…
The USDJPY is ticking above the 200-hour MA at 141.988. The next target comes in at 38.2% retracement of the move down from the September high. That level comes in at 142.485. Move above that, and the door opens for a move toward 143.38 to 143.67 where the 50% is found. , This article was…
The GBPUSD move higher into the European session. However as the US data came out today, and it was better than expected, yields started to move higher, the dollar started to trade higher as well, and the technicals in the GBPUSD gave the sellers the go-ahead to push lower (higher USD) . That move lower…
The Dow is still on pace for record high levels today, but the S&P backed off after trading to a new intraday high today. The old high was at 5669.67 from back on July 16. The high price today extended to 5670.82 before backing off. The current price is trading at 5655.43. That is stil…
The US data this morning came in better than expected which has softened the Fed expectations for tomorrow a bit, but it is still leaning toward 50 bps. The retail sales data today has GDP looking toward 3% for the 3Q. That is pretty good. The question is “Has inflation – and expectations for inflation…
The USDJPY at the start of the US session needed to get to and through the 100-hour MA to increase. the bullish bias. It did just that after better data gave the buyers to go-ahead to move away from the lows. Yesterday, the price moved to the lowest level going back to July, but moved…
Kickstart the FX trading day for September 17 with a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD. Included today is a bonus look at the USDCAD after Canada released lower-than-expected CPI data, and the US reported better-than-expected retail sales data. The EURUSD has moved down and away from a swing area between 1.1131 and…
As the North American session begins, the AUD is the strongest and the CAD is the weakest. Having said that, the top to bottom ranking is scrunched together with little separating the winners and losers. The market is awaiting key data is my guess. Today, the FOMC meeting starts, but it won’t end (well they…
Fundamental Overview Last Thursday, WSJ’s Timiraos published an article which seemed suggesting that a 50 bps cut was still being discussed. The market responded by raising 50 bps cut probabilities to around 40% from 13% before the news. Nick Timiraos is considered a Fed “insider”, so the market is attentive to all of his pieces…