Euro took a sharp dive today following disappointing PMI data that fueled fresh speculation about ECB potentially moving up its anticipated rate cut. Markets had been bracing for a December cut, timed with the release of new economic forecasts. However, the mounting risks of stagnation and even recession in the Eurozone have prompted discussions that…
Australian Dollar managed to climb modestly in a quiet Asian trading session today, despite underwhelming PMI data from Australia. With Japan on holiday, the session saw limited movement, but risk-on sentiment helped offset some of the negative impact from the weak data. In contrast, Yen and Swiss Franc extended their recent declines. Overall, the markets…
Sterling surged notably today and reached its highest level against Dollar since March 2022. The move followed BoE’s decision to hold interest rates steady as expected. The surprise came from Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, who chose not to vote for a rate cut. The overall tone from BoE suggests that while further rate cuts are…
Market reactions were indecisive after Fed’s much-anticipated rate cut overnight. The initial optimism that sparked a rally in US stocks quickly fizzled out, with major indexes closing in the red, while Treasury yields staged a recovery. The reaction was somewhat anticlimactic but understandable given the unusually high level of uncertainty surrounding this FOMC meeting. In…
Traders continue to ramp up bets on a 50bps rate cut by Fed this Wednesday, with market odds now sitting at 65%. This increasing expectation is driving DOW futures higher, positioning the index for a potential new record high in the upcoming regular trading session. However, S&P 500 and NASDAQ are showing less momentum, struggling…
Market activity in Asia has been unusually subdued today, with trading volumes even quieter than expected for the first session of the week. The holiday closures in Japan and China are partly responsible for the reduced momentum, but a larger factor looms over the markets: the upcoming FOMC meeting, which is one of the most…
Yen continues to strengthen broadly today, maintaining its position as the best-performing currency of the week so far. Renewed speculation around a possible 50bps rate cut by the Fed has provided an extra lift to the Japanese currency. Additionally, renewed weakness in US and European benchmark yields further supports the Yen’s rally. BoJ is widely…
Dollar fell sharply overnight as the probability of a 50bps rate cut by Fed next week increased significantly. According to fed fund futures, the odds of a half-point cut now sit at around 40%, a notable jump from just 14% the day before. Market participants had widely assumed that Fed was firmly on track for…
