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US Inflation Data Fuels More Risk-On Rally, Yen Surges After Ishiba’s LDP Leadership Win

Risk-on sentiment returned to global markets again in early US trading, driven by lower-than-expected inflation data. While annual PCE core inflation edged up to 2.7%, the monthly increase was a modest 0.1%. This tamer monthly inflation growth suggests that underlying price pressures would, at least, not obstruct Fed’s to another aggressive rate cut at its…

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Euro Slumps on Weak PMI as ECB Oct Cut Speculation Heats Up

Euro took a sharp dive today following disappointing PMI data that fueled fresh speculation about ECB potentially moving up its anticipated rate cut. Markets had been bracing for a December cut, timed with the release of new economic forecasts. However, the mounting risks of stagnation and even recession in the Eurozone have prompted discussions that…

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Sterling Climbs as UK Core Inflation Accelerates, Dollar Softens Ahead of FOMC Decision

Sterling strengthened across the board today after UK CPI data revealed reacceleration in core inflation. The uptick in core CPI provides additional support for hawkish members of the BoE’s MPC, bolstering the case for a rate hold at tomorrow’s decision. A rate cut is still expected in November, when new economic projections will be available….

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Dollar Weakens as Traders Boost Bets on 50bps Fed Cut

Traders continue to ramp up bets on a 50bps rate cut by Fed this Wednesday, with market odds now sitting at 65%. This increasing expectation is driving DOW futures higher, positioning the index for a potential new record high in the upcoming regular trading session. However, S&P 500 and NASDAQ are showing less momentum, struggling…

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Yen Leads Weekly Gains While France Stages Come Back

Yen continues to strengthen broadly today, maintaining its position as the best-performing currency of the week so far. Renewed speculation around a possible 50bps rate cut by the Fed has provided an extra lift to the Japanese currency. Additionally, renewed weakness in US and European benchmark yields further supports the Yen’s rally. BoJ is widely…

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